The Boiled Frog Syndrome and the Psychology of The American Dream
Recently I have been posting information about the The American Dream in an effort to promote my book, GOLD! Applying Level Six Performance to Capture the Runaway American Dream (http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/search-handle-url?_encoding=UTF8&search-type=ss&index=digital-text&field-author=PhD%20Stephen%20Long) and responses have been surprising to say the least. Responses have ranged from dismissive of facts to being unpatriotic. Like a boiling frog that’s not aware that it’s dyeing, The American Dream is fading. In this post, my intention is to show how psychology and economic research are intertwined. I offer no suggestions for fixing the economy. What I do offer, however, may be more important—a belief system that enables people to maximize their opportunities regardless of the economy. As individuals, we have very little leverage on the economy, but we do have the power to determine how we approach and respond to the challenges this recession economy presents.
Let’s consider the facts:
· In 1995, a Business Week/Harris poll found that 66% of the respondents believed the American Dream had become harder to achieve since 1985, and three-fourths believed that achieving the dream would be more difficult in the next 10 years
· A CNN poll taken in 2006 found that 54% of Americans considered the American Dream unachievable
· According to the GINI Index, America has increased the ratio between the rich and poor while Japan, France, Germany and the United Kingdom have held steady
· The Tax Foundation reported that median income actually fell 2.24% from 2000-2006
· According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis:
o Personal savings rates have decreased by at least 50% since 1970 and as much as 75%
o America became the largest debtor nation in the world since 1986 after being the largest creditor
o Per capita income has doubled since 1948, but it has leveled, and then decreased steadily since 1967
· A study conducted by the World Economic Forum in 2009 showed that London dethroned New York as the financial capital of the world
· The U.S. fell from No. 1 in 2008 to No. 3 this year, behind the UK and Australia
Clearly in the past 40 years things are getting worse than better. Trends are dynamic and if nothing changes, the trend will continue. Avoidance and false optimism will only continue the current trend.
The validity of the American Dream isn’t in question, however and it doesn’t need to be readjusted, redefined or recalibrated for the times. The one thing America doesn’t need is another pep talk filled with empty platitudes and irrelevant anecdotes. What it requires, though, is a process. The Olympians featured in GOLD! illustrate how they achieved their American Dream. The Olympians are role models for us all, for they competed, and then succeeded in a global market long before the term became a part of our national lexicon. And their collective system was instrumental to their success.
There are concerns, however. If nothing changes and the trends continue there are three primary issues that may have a long and significant effects on America—upward mobility, political opportunists and capitalism today. Brookings fellows Isabel Sawhill and Ron Haskins point out in their new book, Creating an Opportunity Society, intergenerational social mobility in the U.S. has been falling since the 1970s, and is lower than in countries such as Britain, Sweden, and Denmark. It has real-world economic implications. Psychologically, when people believe they have no control whether they have the opportunity to advance themselves and improve their lives, they develop what’s called external locus of control. People rely on systems, luck and other external events to provide the path to success rather than themselves. As Paola Giuliano, a professor at UCLA’s Anderson School of Management, notes, “People who buy into the idea of luck over effort tend to work less hard, and that lowers productivity, which of course can lower economic growth.” People will give up without being aware of their own behavior.
Politicians are skilled at leveraging current climates to enhance their ambitions, whether it’s to the benefit or detriment to the society they aspire to serve. Noted economists such as Robert Reich, George Soros and Robert Putnam are fearful that vulnerable people will become more easy prey for ugly class politics, being drawn, as Reich puts it, to “populist demagogues on either side of the political spectrum.”
The way capitalism has been applied has changed over the years. “We are in a very unique period, in which we’re seeing the biggest disconnection between financial capitalism and the real economy since modern economies began in the 19th century,” says Nobel laureate and Columbia economics professor Edmund Phelps, who runs the university’s Center on Capitalism and Society. “That’s not to say that banks don’t fund some useful projects like wind farms or whatever, but increasingly they’re existing in a virtual sphere in which they are more interested in funding each other, and developing complex securities, than in funding real businesses.” America needs to rediscover real value.
While America is still by far the world’s wealthiest, financial instability and a noticeably weakened banking sector has helped decrease the strength of this economy. Emerging economies (Brazil, Russia, India, China, Malaysia) have a way to go before they catch up with more developed rivals like the U.S., Britain and Japan. Some suffer from underdeveloped infrastructure, murky legal and regulatory regimes, or weak corporate governance.
This is no time for complacency, however. “The drop in scores for both the U.K. and the U.S. indicate that their leadership is potentially in jeopardy,” says James Bilodeau of the World Economic Forum, who co-authored the WEF study. “The potentially worrisome finding is the degree to which scores have dropped and their lead relative to other countries has diminished.”
I invite you to examine these articles that help define the problems of The American Dream.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/34162540/ns/politics-white_house/
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/33592580/ns/business-businessweekcom/